Ahead of the 2022 NFL season, Post Action Betting will release a preview of the game for all 32 teams in the National Football League, covering the schedule, predictions, total wins over/under picks and prop bets for each team. Today we will be covering the Seattle Seahawks. Be sure to check out our Atlanta Falcons preview.
Seattle Seahawks (150/1 to win Super Bowl, BetMGM)
Record 2021: 7-10 (4th in NFC West)
A new era begins in Seattle this season. On the heels of a disappointing 2021-22 campaign, the team traded star QB Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos. As part of the trade, the Seahawks added Drew Lock to a roster that also includes Geno Smith and Jacob Eason. Clearly, Seattle is banking on Lock to reach a ceiling he was unable to reach in Denver, just a season after Wilson recorded his lowest QBR in Seattle.
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Other than that trade, not much has changed with a Seattle team that, prior to last season, hadn’t posted a losing record since 2011-12. They still return strong options in the backfield and in a receiving corps that, barring a heist, includes DK Metcalf. So while the loss of a future Hall of Famer could leave a mark on arguably football’s toughest division, there’s cause for optimism, especially since Seattle has a whopping $16 million. of ceiling space.
Seahawks offseason moves: Draft, trades, free agent signings, injury report
- Traded QB Russell Wilson + 4th round pick to the Denver Broncos. Acquired QB Drew Lock, TE Noah Fant, defensive lineman Shelby Harris and five picks
- Drafted Mississippi State OT Charles Cross (#9), Minnesota OLB Boye Mafe (#40), Michigan State RB Kenneth Walker III (#41), Washington State OT Abraham Lucas (#72), Cincinnati CB Coby Bryant (No. 42) No. 109), UTSA CB Tariq Woolen (No. 153), Ohio State DE Tyreke Smith (No. 158), Rutgers WR Bo Melton (No. 229), Lenoir-Rhyne WR Dareke Young (No. 233).
- Signed WR Marquise Goodwin, CB Justin Coleman, LB Joel Iyiegbuniwe and CB Artie Burns, CB Elijah Jones and T Liam Ryan
2022 Seahawks Schedule
Week 1: vs. Denver Broncos
Week 2: San Francisco 49ers
Week 3: against the Atlanta Falcons
Week 4: at the Detroit Lions
Week 5: New Orleans Saints
Week 6: vs. Arizona Cardinals
Week 7: Los Angeles Chargers
Week 8: against the New York Giants
Week 9: at the Arizona Cardinals
Week 10: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 11: GOODBYE
Week 12: vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Week 13: Los Angeles Rams
Week 14: against the Carolina Panthers
Week 15: Against the San Francisco 49ers
Week 16: Kansas City Chiefs
Week 17: against the New York Jets
Week 18: against the Los Angeles Rams
Betting on the NFL?
NFL Betting Lines: Seahawks Win Total O/U
5.5 Victories (FanDuel)
I want to believe the Seahawks aren’t as bad as their 5.5-win total projects.
Still, Seattle — Wilson aside — will return a lot of the showpieces that saw them win seven games last season. Running backs Rashaad Penny and Chris Carson combined to lead the Seahawks’ running game to sixth best DVOA on the ground last season, according to footballoutsiders.com.
Carson was released and later retired, but rookie Kenneth Walker III is ready to step in and form a mighty 1-2 punch with Penny, turning Lock into a ‘game manager’. However, given the way the schedule is set, I don’t know if that’s an option.
Of their 17 opponents, 11 made it into the first half on run defense last season. Seven of those 11 games are against teams ranked sixth or better in that category.
Now they probably won’t lose those seven games — six are against divisional opponents, and I expect the Seahawks can steal at least a game or two — but this team’s path to more than 5.5 wins becomes much narrower.
Barring complete surprise, I certainly expect some regression in the passing department — Seattle went eighth last season passing DVOA. And given that it was ranked as a lower-half defensive team last season, there are plenty of lingering questions.
That said, there are winnable matches on this schedule. Home games against the Falcons, Giants, Panthers and Jets look like games that could go the Seahawks’ way. If Seattle can win two divisional games, that puts them in a good position to surpass their win total.
But, a price of -130 above is simply too much for what many perceive as a below average team. I’m leaning towards the top, but would look for a price of -110 or -115.
O/U 5.5 Seahawks Wins: The Pick
LEAN Over 5.5 Wins (Play at -115 or better)
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First Seahawks victory of the season: Week 3 against Atlanta (+200), FanDuel
There’s a bit of in-play betting calculation for me here.
I believe the Seahawks are only really capable of winning one of their first two games. It’s the opener against the Broncos — and a returning Russell Wilson — where Seattle is a 4.5-point underdog. However, one should expect Wilson – who arguably knows this Seattle defense better than anyone – to exploit that knowledge and pick up the win.
Next, the Seahawks travel to San Francisco. The 49ers actually lost both games to Seattle last season, but with no real threat of passing, expect a strong San Francisco run defense to limit the Seahawks’ offense and win this game.
That brings us to Week 3 against the Falcons. In my opinion, Atlanta is a slightly worse version of the Seahawks. They lack explosion in skill positions and have a relatively inexperienced head coach. Plus, their run defense can really be exploited.
As a result, Seattle should be able to stick to their preferred game plan and use home-court advantage to earn their first win of the season against the Falcons. The Week 1 +180 is tempting, but take the extra 20 cents and return this accessory to Fanduel Sportsbook.